Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.390886 0.427578 0.466747 0.511768 0.562202 0.617089 0.681520
2025-11-30 0.331717 0.383257 0.442092 0.514637 0.602244 0.705338 0.836888
2025-12-07 0.292326 0.350033 0.418887 0.507905 0.621120 0.761898 0.952721
2025-12-14 0.263875 0.324922 0.400346 0.501626 0.635978 0.810840 1.060268
2025-12-21 0.237283 0.298795 0.376958 0.485215 0.633914 0.834997 1.134587
2025-12-28 0.224794 0.289218 0.373334 0.493408 0.664109 0.903955 1.277452
2026-01-04 0.213442 0.279910 0.368823 0.499252 0.690587 0.969109 1.421208
2026-01-11 0.202669 0.270369 0.362924 0.502100 0.712228 1.028315 1.561823
2026-01-18 0.192841 0.261302 0.356785 0.503682 0.731501 1.084967 1.704230
2026-01-25 0.184945 0.254335 0.352970 0.508081 0.754967 1.149781 1.867515
2026-02-01 0.173889 0.242050 0.340468 0.498079 0.754452 1.175041 1.964152
2026-02-08 0.167363 0.235980 0.336718 0.501213 0.775124 1.237140 2.134604
2026-02-15 0.159364 0.227361 0.328724 0.497244 0.784044 1.280591 2.277514
2026-02-22 0.153556 0.221730 0.324964 0.499816 0.804229 1.345930 2.472380
2026-03-01 0.146181 0.213251 0.316181 0.493322 0.807829 1.381023 2.610416
2026-03-08 0.139494 0.205481 0.308043 0.487262 0.811520 1.416337 2.753489
2026-03-15 0.131271 0.194874 0.294746 0.471421 0.796003 1.412984 2.811543
2026-03-22 0.128437 0.192723 0.295100 0.479330 0.825119 1.500181 3.085880
2026-03-29 0.125336 0.189963 0.294252 0.484971 0.850288 1.581914 3.360810
2026-04-05 0.121890 0.186454 0.291926 0.487720 0.869961 1.654163 3.624781
2026-04-12 0.118437 0.182762 0.289067 0.489247 0.887243 1.723006 3.891910
2026-04-19 0.115653 0.180051 0.287737 0.493493 0.910305 1.806925 4.213490
2026-04-26 0.110733 0.173504 0.279376 0.483838 0.903786 1.823449 4.355004